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Glossary · Reliability, calibration, and statistics

Variance components

The shares of observed score variance attributable to each facet (tasks, rollouts, judges, raters, environment snapshots) and their interactions, estimated with mixed-effects models. Published per score, they form a variance budget.

Also called: variance budget, variance decomposition

Defined in

Handbook · ValidationReliability and generalizabilitySpecify what may legitimately vary, then measure how much tasks, seeds, judges and environments move the score.
Generalizability theory
A variance-component framework that assigns measurement variance to facets such as task, judge, seed and environment, and their interactions.
Replication universe
The declared set of conditions that may legitimately vary across replications: tasks, rollouts, judges, raters, environment snapshots, harness versions, time. The intended claim decides which variation is measurement error and which is part of the target.

Where it comes up

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