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Glossary · Reliability, calibration, and statistics

Replication universe

The declared set of conditions that may legitimately vary across replications: tasks, rollouts, judges, raters, environment snapshots, harness versions, time. The intended claim decides which variation is measurement error and which is part of the target.

Also called: domain of legitimate replications

Defined in

Handbook · ValidationReliability and generalizabilitySpecify what may legitimately vary, then measure how much tasks, seeds, judges and environments move the score.
Reliability
Stability of measurement across legitimate replications. Necessary but not sufficient: a perfectly repeatable evaluator can reliably measure the wrong construct.
Variance components
The shares of observed score variance attributable to each facet (tasks, rollouts, judges, raters, environment snapshots) and their interactions, estimated with mixed-effects models. Published per score, they form a variance budget.

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